micah: All right, to close, assign probabilities to each of these eventualities. A contested convention would:
1. Result in a Trump nomination.
2. Result in an establishment nominee who is currently running.
3. Result in an establishment nominee not currently running.
4. Result in Ted Cruz.
5. Destroy the GOP.
6. Other.
natesilver: No. 5 doesn’t seem to be mutually exclusive with the other choices.
Perhaps the cartoonist was taking liberty to include iridium 192 dirty bombs in the mushroom category. Actually not, but perhaps more likely terrorists could pull off detonating a radiological dirty bomb than an old fashion A-bomb.
|Theme song|
micah: All right, to close, assign probabilities to each of these eventualities. A contested convention would:
1. Result in a Trump nomination.
2. Result in an establishment nominee who is currently running.
3. Result in an establishment nominee not currently running.
4. Result in Ted Cruz.
5. Destroy the GOP.
6. Other.
natesilver: No. 5 doesn’t seem to be mutually exclusive with the other choices.
micah: That’s on purpose.
I've always liked the number 5.
Perhaps the cartoonist was taking liberty to include iridium 192 dirty bombs in the mushroom category. Actually not, but perhaps more likely terrorists could pull off detonating a radiological dirty bomb than an old fashion A-bomb.
A reference to the |Iridium Anomaly| perhaps? That asteroid strike would have produced one helluva mushroom.
K-T Lang is pretty popular up in Canada, still.
Oh, that was good.