So in Ohio, Republicans have to vote for their nominee twice. Once for the statewide race, and once for the Congressional District. Only the statewide one counts. The District race literally means nothing but it's on the ballot anyway.
In NV, we have both a caucus and a primary, but the preznitial stuff is only at the caucus and everything else is at the primary. And this was supposed to save money–how?
Early county results in Florida suggest a huge win for Hillary. She's actually slightly ahead of expected and she was already expected to win by like 30.
I've also seen at least one call for Clinton in NC though the big ones seem to have waited a bit longer. It wouldn't be a surprise though, all the close states are farther north today.
Chris Matthews' mouth needs an editor. Or a word limit. OR both. I can't stand more than 2 seconds of his run-on paragraph verbal styrofoam-packed nonsense.
There were 26 presidential primaries in Ohio in the century between 1912 and 2012, which means we’re trying to predict the future using an extremely small sample size.
In nine of those cases, a candidate won all three contests: Ohio primary, national nomination, general election.
In six cases, victory in the first two did not lead to the White House.
In 11 cases, the candidate who won in Ohio did not win the nomination—though in three of those years, discussed above, the eventual Republican nominee did win in the end, without having won in Ohio.
As a side-note, one R. Ohio Guv, won as a 'favorite son' even though he wasn't going for POTUS.
Rhodes, who shot the kids at Kent St. He gave his delegates to Nixon.
I honestly have no idea. He's 50/50 even among Democrats though, it's quite odd. He's done some pretty bad things to our state but I swear half the people who were against them have forgotten.
Tru TV is really desperate to keep these viewers who only watch them for the NCAA Tournament. None of the advertised shows look like something I'd watch though. I'll stick with Vanderbilt-Wichita State, thanks.
Adam Ruins Everything is actually pretty fun and interesting (the one on forensic science was terrific), but I don't think I've bothered with anything else on there.
Again, not too worried. MO is a right-leaning state and it's the Trump effect. Tons of people show up to vote against him too. We'll get that boost in the general.
My DVR took control of my TV at 8:30 PDT so I missed a lot of fun stats, apparently. Started in on last season of American Horror Story instead. Freaky!
Sanders supporter to Chris Hayes: this is a longer fight. This is going to take years.
I know this is cold comfort to that person and to Team Bernie, but lots of us on Team Hillary are with you for that longer fight. Stay strong and fight on for the soul of what Bernie represents!
There was a time, people, when you would really not have been throwing confetti in the air just because a Republican governor who believes “you’ve got to help people that are downtrodden and poor” won the presidential primary in his own state. But we are where we are.
|Related|
So in Ohio, Republicans have to vote for their nominee twice. Once for the statewide race, and once for the Congressional District. Only the statewide one counts. The District race literally means nothing but it's on the ballot anyway.
Aw, I love it when places do shit to confuse old people. Go, Ohio!
Sounds right.
No, wait. That sounds really dumb.
They never bothered to take the ballot off when they changed the rules, which makes it even dumber.
In NV, we have both a caucus and a primary, but the preznitial stuff is only at the caucus and everything else is at the primary. And this was supposed to save money–how?
I would like to congratulate Nevada for being dumber than Ohio at this process. I have no idea how you did it.
NV does other elections pretty well, though. Aside from always electing wingnut republicans, that is.
We gave you John Boehner, so I know your pain.
@ForecasterEnten
Looking at this exit poll data, it's clear that neither Sanders nor Clinton will win in any of the the Republican primaries.
Yeah! Where are the embargoed exit poll data?
I'm so nervous…
<img src="http://45.media.tumblr.com/b5d81f8905a5ac2a447c4c93ea8c55a2/tumblr_mkxdxj9Z7x1s5lf2ro1_500.gif"/>
@DavidShuster
Shock Illinois exit poll: Hispanics voting 65-35 @BernieSanders over @hillaryclinton. If that holds, Clinton will lose IL. #DemPrimary
Tornado warnings in parts of IL, btw. More than just politics going on there.
UGH, they're saying on MSNBC that results will take a while to come in. Get ready for a long night, everyone!
Slow results AND close races? WELCOME TO IOWA 2.0, NON-CAUCUS EDITION
Tonight feels like a long decline into irrelevancy for Marco Rubio.
| YOU'RE BREAKIN' MY HEART |
Nilsson always FTW.
TPM has Hillz @66% and Trump@45% in FL.
Also: Li'l Marco @27%, sez he won't drop out after his shellacking, as he believes it will make him shiny and more attractive to voters.
Early county results in Florida suggest a huge win for Hillary. She's actually slightly ahead of expected and she was already expected to win by like 30.
Do the FL polls close early so everybody can still make it down to Red Lobster for the early-bird special?
Red Lobster? Hey, everybody, look at Mr. Fancy ovah here!
Maybe he had some particularly good nudge nudge wink wink?
Ohio exit poll: Clinton 53, Sanders 47.
NC Exit poll: Clinton 59, Sanders 41.
https://45.media.tumblr.com/c355681934380d1d5d503…
This is a video of Marco Rubio trying to get traction in Florida.
|"Going Out In Style" |
Cmdr and I are at the Phx Bernie thingie right now
Try not to instigate any violence.
Don't worry–everybody here is kewl.
PIX PLZ
We're way in the back. I'll try. I think he's coming on in about a half hour..
THNX
Fun People pics are perfectly acceptable tho
|pics as promised|
Did Jane Sanders invite Sheriff Joe?
To a duel? I'd almost be tempted to switch to Team Bernie if she did that…
33% reporting from Florida.
Clinton 65, Sanders 33.
Trump 46, Rubio 27, Cruz 16, Kasich 7.
MSNBC: Florida goes to Hillary and Trump. Bye bye Rubio.
NO! Nevar! Ima go to Utah!
I've also seen at least one call for Clinton in NC though the big ones seem to have waited a bit longer. It wouldn't be a surprise though, all the close states are farther north today.
Did Tweety just suggest that Hillary should put John Kasich on her ticket? DAFUQ?!?!
Damn, Chris Matthews is just the embodiment of male privilege (he just called on Hillary to tap KASICH as her VP).
HAHAHAHAHAHA HOLY SHIT
BUT — BUT — he said it won't happen because politics in America is "free of wonder". Amazing, right?
I wonder how Trump is doing well. Does that count?
Tweety needs to be in a nice, quiet , care facility.
Chris Matthews' mouth needs an editor. Or a word limit. OR both. I can't stand more than 2 seconds of his run-on paragraph verbal styrofoam-packed nonsense.
Let's give Tweety the bird.
Not to mention that it's a terrible idea. Hillz needs someone young and from the Sun Belt (cough Julian Castro cough)
| Koo-koo-ka-choo, Mr. Rubio,
Jesus loves you more than you will know.
God bless you, please, Mr. Rubio.
Heaven holds a place for those who pray,
Hey, hey, hey
Hey, hey, hey |
Over 1600 people voted for Rocky de la Fuente, apparently.
Okay Ohio, as much as I love how blue this map is, can you start reporting real results? It's 41 minutes in and we have 4 precincts done.
Seriously–come the fuck on, Buckeye State…
<img src="https://memecrunch.com/meme/14LUK/i-hate-waiting/image.png?w=500&c=1">
Fun fact: West Virginians look down on Buckeyes.
We look down on them too, it's mutual
Wait–you also look down on Buckeyes?
Yeah, fuck Ohio State.
Illinois and Missouri look like pure toss-ups right now. Could be a long night, especially if Illinois counts as slowly as Ohio is.
Marco Rubio is on.
Is this Marco's victory speech?
"FOUR MORE YEARS" Oh, wait.
Asshole Trump protestor interrupts Marco Rubio's speech just now
"Don't worry, you won't get beat up in our rally."
Donald Trump: Making Marco fucking Rubio likeable.
That's a real accomplishment, even if it's by comparison.
MSNBC: Hillary gets North Carolina barbecue.
She better share!
Most. Boring. Concession. Speech. Ever.
Rubio: It's mostly the political establishment's fault I lost.
The lord
directed my stepspushed me into the swamp.Hillary won Ohio early voters 68-31.
Marco: "…looked down at conservatives as 'simple minded people'"
Uh, gee, where do you think they got that idea?
<img src="http://new1.fjcdn.com/pictures/Teabaggers_c7af2f_617077.jpg"/>
"We are the descendants of African Plains Hominids"
Rubio: no, really, I'll repay that debt someday!
But no tip!
"God makes no mistakes"
"Slugs! He created slugs!"
Homeless snails.
Thank God That's Over.
Hilz projected to take N.C.
Ohio has 36 of 8887 precincts counted. It's been an hour. ffs
Ugh, Steve Schmidt reminded us of Nixon's 1962 "you won't have Dick Nixon to kick around anymore." Please, God, no Marco 2.0 FFS…
How many votes did Cthulhu get?
I'd kick him around some more.
As I said in reply to your earlier comment on this, hurry the fuck up, Ohio…
Christ, what a schlonging.
| "It's All Over But The Crying" |
[Also.]
Kornacki: fundie mentals for Canadian Anchor Baby.
HILLARY WINS OHIO
Wow, quite a sweep tonight, eh?
This is better than I could have imagined here.
Man, I can't believe a trust fund bullshit artist from Queens with no plan but a carpetbag full of fear, anger and fantasy took Florida!
Oh, wait…that always happens. Never mind.
MSNBC: Hillary gets the Buckeye State.
Florida Man Loses Florida Vote
How on earth can the talking heads keep yammering on if they already call all the states?
That;s OK, Illinois will be all night.
That's the Chicago way. Vote early, vote often!
KASICH FTW!
MSNBC: Buckeye State goes to Kasich.
You know he's going to be insufferable now.
Ew, Kasich will be in PA tomorrow. I weep for my home state FFS.
Maggie Haberman
8:50 PM ET
Oof, and on Fox News, Chris Wallace apparently just chided Karl Rove, congratulating him for getting Ohio right this time.
<img src="https://m.popkey.co/a22bd2/wzdVg.gif"/>
Can we trade Nichole Wallace for Chris Wallace? Please?
"I'm going to get in a covered wagon and hope for a big breeze," Kasich says of his path. "This is the little engine that can."
What the fuck does this even mean
<img src="https://41.media.tumblr.com/4cbe5a5a82d4d47924a232245bcdc9bb/tumblr_n6euv3MdZC1s2xz9co1_500.jpg"/>
It's a condition known as metaphorsia. Issuing a continuous stream of metaphors with no sense of coherence or appropriateness.
I think it originally came from metaphorasia.
Hillary is on.
Secretary Clinton has had a yoogely successful night.
Fuck off, Brian!
Hillary: you voted for tomorrow to be better, not worse, unlike those assholes in the other party!
Hillz to Wall Street: fuck you, I can take your money and tell you to get bent!
<img src="https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ca0IUmkWIAAmzaJ.jpg" />
This is what Ohio looks like tonight
That expression is priceless. Saved for Future'shop
I CAN WATCH TV NOW WITHOUT POLITICAL ADS, BRING ON MARCH MADNESS
<img src="http://stream1.gifsoup.com/view3/20140506/5031681/tv-out-the-window-o.gif"/>
Forward, not backward,upward, not forward, and always twirling, twirling, twirling towards freedom!
Sanders, oddly, leading in Clinton County Ohio. He really has a lock on Clinton County everywhere.
Kasich is on.
"As Ohio Goes, So Goes The Nation."
Awshit.
There were 26 presidential primaries in Ohio in the century between 1912 and 2012, which means we’re trying to predict the future using an extremely small sample size.
In nine of those cases, a candidate won all three contests: Ohio primary, national nomination, general election.
In six cases, victory in the first two did not lead to the White House.
In 11 cases, the candidate who won in Ohio did not win the nomination—though in three of those years, discussed above, the eventual Republican nominee did win in the end, without having won in Ohio.
via something called "TIME" magazine…………wtf?
As a side-note, one R. Ohio Guv, won as a 'favorite son' even though he wasn't going for POTUS.
Rhodes, who shot the kids at Kent St. He gave his delegates to Nixon.
Hecklers at Kasich's rally? Fuck, looks like The Donald carried out his threat to send them…
That kind of thing will lose him Ohio in a general election. Kasich's legitimately liked here.
Just out of curiosity, why?
I honestly have no idea. He's 50/50 even among Democrats though, it's quite odd. He's done some pretty bad things to our state but I swear half the people who were against them have forgotten.
Kasich: Thanks for losing, Marco!
@benchmarkpol 2 minutes ago
Ready to make a final margin call for Ohio using @DecisionDeskHQ. With 12.8% Reporting – Clinton 60% – Sanders 38% – Other 2%
Kasich: you want to believe that I have a snowball's chance in hell of winning.
I'm you!
Kasich's daughter is adorable, at least.
Kasich: take a widow out for dinner!
"I have a modest proposal to get America working again…"
<img src="http://i.gr-assets.com/images/S/photo.goodreads.com/hostedimages/1415378803i/11780160._SY540_.jpg">
Kasich: this is all I've got.
Sorry, John, but that's all you're going to get…
Missouri is crazy close.
NYT thinks Trump is up by 0.6 and Clinton is up by 0.2.
MSNBC: Illinois goes to TehRump.
That Benchmark site (who seems to be doing well with this sort of thing!) has called Missouri for Sanders, 51-48.
Trump very likely to win North Carolina at this point.
Looking for a site that tracks the Illinois vote by county and not finding one. Help!
http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/illinois
Thanks. This one is good too:
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2016/primarie…
MSNBC: TehRump got North Carolina.
<img src="http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2016/03/16/us/16polblog-27/16polblog-27-tmagArticle.jpg" />
Kasich has used up every single piece of paper in Ohio for this.
Oh, God, TehRump is on.
Explain to me the physics of running for office. Show all your work.
Don't ask me how I'll bring back all those jobs and factories, I just will. It'll be amazing, fantastic.
Too much quantum to show. I doubt that I remember how to write Schroedinger's equation for a simple cat.
"I never see my Barron…and we're very happy about that."
I'll bet he is too…
The Good News: If I'm elected, Apple will be making iPhones in this country, not China!
The Bad news: You're all going to be making $5 per week! AH HAHAHAHA
@benchmarkpol
Illinois is such an enigma right now. We want to make a call but Benchmarks are calling a tie!
TehRump: we have to bring out party together, so fuck you, #NeverTrump!
TehRump: sit down, everyone, this is going to take a while.
The Donald: we're losers. We don't win. Vote for me!
Tru TV is really desperate to keep these viewers who only watch them for the NCAA Tournament. None of the advertised shows look like something I'd watch though. I'll stick with Vanderbilt-Wichita State, thanks.
<img src="http://wonkville.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/Hilz-Drumpf-signs-copy.jpg"/>
Ew at the bottom sign
Says it all.
Adam Ruins Everything is actually pretty fun and interesting (the one on forensic science was terrific), but I don't think I've bothered with anything else on there.
We think Bernie Sanders is up by around 0.1 points. But he doesn't lead in all of our models.
NYT still thinks MO is crazy close. It's South Iowa.
Brian Williams: unbearable or intolerable?
Yes.
I can't wait for the H.A. Goodman take on this tomorrow!
Hahaha.
I've got a big crush on Hallie Jackson now. Black name, white girl, beautiful eyes: what's not to like?
Ooh, ooh, we're waiting for Cruz, with iCarly introducing him.
Meh.
Ugh, Canadian Anchor Baby is on.
I'm not the kind of guy who settles things by punching, but….
Well, no one in the Senate will convict you for it.
Harry Reid was a Golden Gloves boxer, they say…how many times he must've been tempted.
How is Ted going to spin his 0-for-4 night as a victory?
This is why he went to law school. Maybe he can sue the GOP to say that all the delegates who didn't vote for Drumpf must be given to him.
Abolish the IRS! DRINK!!!
Wow, a Republican hates Hillary Clinton! What an amazing new concept!
Ann Coulter somehow being worse tonight than normal.
reagan! Sploosh
We think Bernie Sanders is up by around 0.1 points. But he doesn't lead in all of our models.
Missouri don't do this to me
UGH, from Chuck Todd to Chris Matthews. Give me Rachel and Steve Kornacki FFS…
@benchmarkpol 6 minutes ago
Final Call for Illinois – Clinton 50.5% – Sanders 49% – Other .5%.
|Great Moments in Polling. February 2|
@Taniel
Ben Carson is getting enough votes in North Carolina for his delegate allocation fraction to round to 1 delegate.
Just got back from walking the dogs. Come the FUCK on, Illinois!
@PatrickRuffini
Gerrymandering may be costing Trump alternatives district delegates.
Really, MSNBC? Hugh Hewitt is coming up? WHY. FFS?
Okay, NYT, how is Missouri going? Is it over yet?
We think Donald J. Trump is up by around 0.2 points.
Shit… Well, we can call it for Bernie on the left, right?
We think Bernie Sanders is up by around 0.3 points.
DAMN IT
It's amazing how close Mizzou is on both sides. However, once again, way more total votes on the R side than the D. Ugh.
Again, not too worried. MO is a right-leaning state and it's the Trump effect. Tons of people show up to vote against him too. We'll get that boost in the general.
98% reporting from Missouri
Sanders 295,519
Clinton 293,394
Most votes left in slightly pro-Clinton counties.
MSNBC: Hillary is the "apparent winner" in Illinois.
My DVR took control of my TV at 8:30 PDT so I missed a lot of fun stats, apparently. Started in on last season of American Horror Story instead. Freaky!
https://twitter.com/SeanMcElwee/status/7099599997…
lmao
Sanders supporter to Chris Hayes: this is a longer fight. This is going to take years.
I know this is cold comfort to that person and to Team Bernie, but lots of us on Team Hillary are with you for that longer fight. Stay strong and fight on for the soul of what Bernie represents!
@darth
"can i tell u about our free checking"
<img src="https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Cdo_clOUkAAxM7i.jpg" />
<img src="https://media.giphy.com/media/133tEQgc0V3Dc4/giphy.gif" width="400" height="400">
@DKElections
All of STL County in. Gives Hillary 1433 statewide lead with a little Jackson left #MOPrimary
@benchmarkpol
With the recent dump of St Louis County, it appears that we will be wrong on Missouri. There will be less than half a percent that separates
Joy-Ann Reid: both prosecutors who didn't go after the cops who killed black kids lost.
<img src="http://www.reactiongifs.us/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/oh_yeah_obama.gif">
I know it's my fault, I didn't wear my "Bernie for the Future" shirt.
MSNBC: Hillary is the apparent winner in the Show-Me State.
#StartedFromTheRodhamNowWeHere
From the hilarious Gail Collins from [the NYT]:
<img src="https://martinanewberry.files.wordpress.com/2012/05/statueofliberty.jpg">
Oh, for those wondering, Trump won in the Northern Mariana Islands today.
Is it like Chicago, where voting twice is a patriotic obligation? Can oldes [ wear a hat to the polls? ]
My mother was an English teacher and took Latin in high school and college. What can I say?
Does facing Trump count as a hit by pitch? And I'm sure 1 of those 4 had him reach base on a Rubio error.
Well sure. So am I. But I don't think that influences the vote.