That's the impression I got from all the comments. I'd never heard of Zogby, which should be my first clue that it's not high on people's list of go-to polls, but the fact that they say it at all must mean there's some sort of shift going on.
We've had two polls from Kansas this cycle and both show Clinton leading Trump. Sadly, both have been from awful pollsters (Zogby's somehow better than the other from Fort Hays State) but it seems like it won't be a 20+ point republican blowout this year!
From what I've seen, Zogby always errs towards the R side, which could be good news. His methodology is so suspect though, that I'll believe it when I see it.
A bit OT, but I don't feel like posting another Clinton/election post, here's a really worthwhile/hilarious post on Daily Kos about why Warren will be the veep: http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/6/9/1536888/…
I already have been thinking it will be her, it has to be – any other choice would look like a less brilliant decision, less confident, too. Also, I keep thinking of those images from Bill Clinton's first run, when he chose Gore and everyone said he shoudln't choose another young southerner, and yet people went wild at the two of them after he announced. And I remember those iconic images of Clinton and Gore on the campaign bus with their heads together. Clinton/Warren would be the new version of that and she knows it.
If she does choose her, I would bet it won't be until right before the convention, though. She needs to give Sanders time to process his process.
I would be shocked if she announced it more than 2 weeks prior to the DNC. I just looked it up, and Biden was announced only 2 days before the convention. The GOP convention is July 18, so I can see dropping it then to pull coverage/attention.
I agree. It will be right before the convention. She'll time it for maximum PR value and minimum cost. Also she needs to let dialogue and speculation build up in the chattersphere so that there's a consensus and an inevitability about it when she does announce. Also she just plain ol has to give Warren and her family time to adjust to what will be their new reality.
I agree about Sanders. He's more valuable in the Senate. The only cabinet position he'd be useful in is Labor and there's plenty of other people who are more capable heading that dept. anyway. Plus the Labor dept has its own culture and he's not a DOL kind of guy. He wouldn't want a cabinet position anyway. That's just managing a department – implementing policy. Bernie's an ideas man – he wants to make policy, so like you said, she'll prefer him somewhere where she can know he'll be an ally instead of planning palace intrigues.
Probably depends on how the next couple of months go. If that Politco article is accurate, he'll need to get quite a bit more humble before Clinton could trust him not to undermine her.
Well, it is Zogby, which is notoriously awful, but the fact that it's showing it close is notable.
Probably have to switch it from safe R to likely or lean R on my map, don't I?
That's the impression I got from all the comments. I'd never heard of Zogby, which should be my first clue that it's not high on people's list of go-to polls, but the fact that they say it at all must mean there's some sort of shift going on.
We've had two polls from Kansas this cycle and both show Clinton leading Trump. Sadly, both have been from awful pollsters (Zogby's somehow better than the other from Fort Hays State) but it seems like it won't be a 20+ point republican blowout this year!
From what I've seen, Zogby always errs towards the R side, which could be good news. His methodology is so suspect though, that I'll believe it when I see it.
I would like to believe. I want to believe. Come on, Kansas, make me believe!
<img src="http://www.retroplanet.com/mm5/graphics/00000006/32817_main.jpg">
Oh, if anyone wondered, this is what I came up with for a map. Yes, that is Nevada to the left of Oregon.
http://www.270towin.com/maps/MmAeO
A bit OT, but I don't feel like posting another Clinton/election post, here's a really worthwhile/hilarious post on Daily Kos about why Warren will be the veep: http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/6/9/1536888/…
I already have been thinking it will be her, it has to be – any other choice would look like a less brilliant decision, less confident, too. Also, I keep thinking of those images from Bill Clinton's first run, when he chose Gore and everyone said he shoudln't choose another young southerner, and yet people went wild at the two of them after he announced. And I remember those iconic images of Clinton and Gore on the campaign bus with their heads together. Clinton/Warren would be the new version of that and she knows it.
If she does choose her, I would bet it won't be until right before the convention, though. She needs to give Sanders time to process his process.
I would be shocked if she announced it more than 2 weeks prior to the DNC. I just looked it up, and Biden was announced only 2 days before the convention. The GOP convention is July 18, so I can see dropping it then to pull coverage/attention.
I agree. It will be right before the convention. She'll time it for maximum PR value and minimum cost. Also she needs to let dialogue and speculation build up in the chattersphere so that there's a consensus and an inevitability about it when she does announce. Also she just plain ol has to give Warren and her family time to adjust to what will be their new reality.
I agree about Sanders. He's more valuable in the Senate. The only cabinet position he'd be useful in is Labor and there's plenty of other people who are more capable heading that dept. anyway. Plus the Labor dept has its own culture and he's not a DOL kind of guy. He wouldn't want a cabinet position anyway. That's just managing a department – implementing policy. Bernie's an ideas man – he wants to make policy, so like you said, she'll prefer him somewhere where she can know he'll be an ally instead of planning palace intrigues.
Probably depends on how the next couple of months go. If that Politco article is accurate, he'll need to get quite a bit more humble before Clinton could trust him not to undermine her.