What say ye, [Nate]?

There are some hints that Clinton’s post-convention lead over Trump will eventually settle in at about 7 percentage points, give or take a couple points. The biggest tip-off is that both the national polls and the state polls we’ve seen so far look similar to the ones we were seeing in June, when Clinton maintained a lead over Trump of about 7 points after wrapping up the Democratic nomination. Since Clinton and Trump were roughly tied after the GOP convention, a 7-point lead for Clinton would mean she’d gotten about a 7-point bounce, double the size of Trump’s.

<img src="https://a.disquscdn.com/get?url=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.giphy.com%2Fmedia%2Fl0HlBCMAuw38GtCsE%2Fgiphy.gif&key=na9JoheUrX0-ns-Zs3u9tA"&gt;