Even though I posted this, and even though I check fivethirtyeight.com three times a day, I have to argue, again, that probabilistic estimates of a unique events are meaningless. If we were going to have the election 10 times, Hillz would win 9 and Trump 1. But we're only going to do it once (I hope!).
Forty percent chance of rain tomorrow. Do you bring an umbrella or not?
The Indians are now up 3-0 in a 7 game series to the Blue Jays. Can the Blue Jays come back? Statistically almost impossible. No team could do that.
Maybe- and this is just a hypothetical, I'd like to point that out- if there was a rain out or something that caused the last 4 or 5 games to be played back to back, or (again, speculation) games that went extra innings, caused both pitching staffs to be depleted, maybe something weird could happen, but even if that did, how would it favor the team that lost the first 3?
If God is all-powerful, can He make a rock so heavy that even He can't lift it?
<img src="http://i.imgur.com/7hmupJY.jpg" />
<img src="http://www.newyorker.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/160222_a19809-1000.jpg" width="363" height="415" />
Except Trump is still carrying over 40% of the electorate, so these people won't be going anywhere soon.
I don't think I follow your train of thought…
Even though I posted this, and even though I check fivethirtyeight.com three times a day, I have to argue, again, that probabilistic estimates of a unique events are meaningless. If we were going to have the election 10 times, Hillz would win 9 and Trump 1. But we're only going to do it once (I hope!).
you're just confusing me more. I know that part
Forty percent chance of rain tomorrow. Do you bring an umbrella or not?
The Indians are now up 3-0 in a 7 game series to the Blue Jays. Can the Blue Jays come back? Statistically almost impossible. No team could do that.
Maybe- and this is just a hypothetical, I'd like to point that out- if there was a rain out or something that caused the last 4 or 5 games to be played back to back, or (again, speculation) games that went extra innings, caused both pitching staffs to be depleted, maybe something weird could happen, but even if that did, how would it favor the team that lost the first 3?
If God is all-powerful, can He make a rock so heavy that even He can't lift it?
you had me at "If God"
Definite liebural: Willing to look at facts.
http://tucson.com/news/opinion/letters/letter-rec…
Besides, as Melaria said tonight, you can't accuse someone of sexual assault unless you have proof, like a semen-stained blue dress.
…or nude pix
My friends and family in Canada City would take offence (SWIDT?) at this bullshit.