So they start at 7 PM, last maybe two hours, then have to deliver the results to Demo and GOPer HQ, where the numbers will be counted…what time will it be before we see the twin-triumphs of Bernie and Gary Gilmore?
BTW, Po'o media critic Jack Shafer has already pre-digested the excuses of pundits who blew it:
I'd be expecting results maybe around 9 then coming in through the night? Possibly starting a bit earlier if some get done early. I'm sure we'll get some reports that aren't votes a lot earlier than that for what people are seeing as far as turnout.
Brain. True story: Ex-BIL once misspelled his son Brian's name 'Brain' on some kinda official form, forget what it was now. Anyway , that ex BIL is dead now anyway.
State motto: "We Corn It"
State slogan: "If corn won't grow where you live, give us a chance!"
State Song: "Beautiful Corn"
State bird: Popcorn Popper
State capital: Des Corn
State governor: Cornelio C. Cornell
State fish: Flipper Kernel
State flower: Corn Flower
State fossil: Petrified Corn
State insect: Locust (Also known as "Corn Flies")
State language: English, Children of the Corn
State amphibian: Corn Frog
State tree: Corn Stalk
State color: Corn Yellow
State Plague: Corn Fungus
State Pastime: Corn on the Cob'n
State Hero: Ethanol, Slipknot
State skin disorder: Bunyan See: Corn
As someone who (briefly) attended Cornell College¹ in Mount Vernon IA, I salute this exhaustive compilation of corn-themed things.
_______________________
¹"No, not that Cornell." It's on the official seal.
Supposed to be nasty weather in Iowa later tonight, blizzard conditions, etc. It might hit western Iowa around the time the caucuses end. Hopefully, it won't deter anyone from going and letting their voices be heard.
If I may paraphrase Joseph N. Welch during the McCarthy hearings: "Have you no sense of decency, Karen? At long last, have you left no sense of decency?"
Mr. Rose, whose wife, Mary Jones, was a precinct captain for President Obama in 2008, ruefully recalled losing out on some supporters because a rival campaign had brought homemade sandwiches.
hahaha the NYT is coming in with the important facts.
edit: it doesn't end.
Ms. Vernon said she was already wary of her rivals’ tactics. “I heard some Hillary people talking about if they should bring pizza,” Ms. Vernon said, with a hint of suspicion in her voice. She paused. “I wouldn’t mind getting a piece of pizza, but I’m probably going to go for Bernie.”
The top story on MSNBC's Chris Hayes website at the moment is one I saw the other night, and becomes pretty hilarious and touching when their dude on the ground in Iowa ventures into the home of a nice old couple, looks at all the mailers they've received, and sits down with them in their living room to have dinner on teevee tables while they watch all the freaking commercials.
Just remember, two folks who won the Iowa caucus on the Republican side recently were "President" Rick Santorum and "President" Mike Huckabee, so, yeah. Republican Iowegians are not very good at selecting presidents, so there's that.
"Have you seen that delegate? I mean, I haven't, but my people tell me he or she is YOOGE and BEEYOOTIFUL! You've never seen such a classy delegate. And my people tell me he or she loves me and thinks I'm awesome, which is great."
Ioway allows for same-day voter registration, at least on caucus night (not sure about the general, but probably then, too). So, if a person is a first-time voter (or has recently moved and just needs to update their address info) they can register right at the caucus. What's frustrating and ridiculous is that some places either underestimate or just have no estimate at all as to how many forms will be needed at any particular caucus place. Most likely, the people who need voter reg forms will get them eventually. They may have to delay the actual caucus process for a little while, but they should (I hope) still be able to get registered and caucus.
Clinton leading early entrance poll among… white people, which is 94% of the electorate according to CNN. If that's accurate this will be a good night for her.
From Jim Newell's twitter, which Blue posted earlier: "It all comes down to the number of supporters each candidate has"
Reminds me of watching one of the last NFL games John Madden ever did color commentary for: "What it comes down to is can [Team A] score and stop [Team B] from scoring?" And he got paid good money for saying that.
Coach X: "What we've got to do is put some points on the scoreboard."
Candidate Y: "The only poll that counts (unless it shows I'm ahead) is the one on Election Day."
Matthews is one of those people where if I even just hear his voice I have to change the channel. Blitzer, I tend to gape at him, it amazes me how someone so vacuous has stayed in his job for so long.
Thanks, I must see this, despite the grievous lack of aquatic monstrosities . I didn't even know it was in production till the ads came out. Those sneaky Disney folks!
So… a bit windy out in those parts?
Very. And cold. A tree fell over in a park near here. That rarely happens. And pretty heavy rain Sunday morning. It's weird, having weather.
I saw a scary tree fall on the news, and a 115 mph gust somewhere. That's all too much. People move out there to get away from the weather, I understand, and maybe a few strongly worded letters to the Chamber of Commerce are in order.
Nobody's hair got messed up so it's OK.
That's a bit of luck!
Wow, now that's a scary tree fall! I hope no one was hurt.
I think my previous comment came off much more smartass-y than It should have, so I do apologize.
I'm surrounded by gigantic old silver maples. If they ever go their roots will take the entire neighborhood with them. The good news – no grass to mow!
Not sure which comment you mean. I didn't detect any smart assery.
It was indeed a pretty dramatic tree fail. Around California it's more common for |oaks to drop their limbs in the summer,| and oaks are ubiquitous. So parks and public spaces are careful to place tables and benches away from oak canopies.
Oh, good. The whole "strongly worded letter" to the C-o-C bit was making me uneasy…
Wow, "Sudden Limb Drop" is a real thing! Didn't know that. A tree (don't remember what kind) did that to me years ago. Late summer, dead calm, tree just ups and sheds a huge limb *right across the top of the power pole* outside my window. Woke up to a huge electrical ball of fire outside the window (try integrating that into your dream "hmmm…the sun is making this weird buzzing sound…"). Fortunately, the power cut before everything caught fire.
Must have been the temperature drop that night. Now I know, cool.
D-55% reporting
Clinton 51.2% (341)
Sanders 48.3% (322)
O'Malley 0.5% (3)
It's State Delegate Equivalents, the guess that the Iowa Democratic Party has of how many delegates each will have at the state convention level in March.
So you have a fraction of a fraction of the voters, and the voters then elect delegates, basically. So the most you can expect from the Ds is to hit the 2008 caucus high turnout of 38% of eligible D voters. (And since Iowa lets you switch sides that day, people who were Ds could switch to R tonight just for shits and giggles and free Trump swag, then never vote R again.)
Going back to Florida for a change of clothes? Nonsense. He's obviously got to go plug in his brain at the home charging station, or perform some bizarre rite at the secret home altar to keep his human form, or finalize his report to the Overlords, or finish loading the fuel rods in his personal nuclear submarine.
From the NYT's updates, finally an answer to the question I've had for an hour:
The Democratic race is very close, but Clinton has had a slight edge the entire night. And the outstanding counties aren't necessarily any better for Sanders or Clinton.
I was linked an anonymously-posted video of someone asking an election official in a Polk County caucus whether there should be a recount or not. That was pretty weak.
The next few months are going to be insufferable. I also saw a Bernie fan on twitter claiming that his supporters are soooo well-mannered when he speaks (after they had been screaming, "LIAR" at Hillary when she spoke). Love Bernie, but hate about 75% of his voters at this point.
I feel the same. Bernie's awesome, I like Hillary a bit more but I'd have no problems voting for Bernie in a general election. It's just that he has so many supporters that are awful.
It's like having a crush on someone and finding out they only hang out with lacrosse douches. But, yes, same. And it's like Clinton 2008 redux — if Bernie doesn't quash the BS soon, it's going to sink him.
Apparently the Polk County Democratic Party chairman is sending someone to knock on the door of the head of the precinct not showing results yet. We're at that point.
And with that I'm going to bed. Nearly 3am and it may take hours for them to get contact with the final ten precincts. Legendary night to say the least.
Latest numbers: Cruz 28% (Yay!*) Trump 24, Rubio 23. Other people got votes as well. (It appears Jeb! finished with 3%. *snort*)
Clinton: 49.9%, Bernie 49.5%. A few people voted for M O'M also, too. Teh teevee newz is saying it's the closest Iowa caucus race evah.
* I said "Yay!" about Cruz's win because I feel like, among the GOP front runners, he would be the easiest to defeat in November. Trump scares me as human being and as a candidate because he could get a lot of independents to vote for him. Rubio scares me as a human being and as a candidate because he's smooth and I could see a lot of people voting for him. Cruz is just creepy as all fuck.
Also, too, O'Malley is suspending his campaign, as is Fuckadump, er, sorry, Huckabee.
I'm in San Diego and the nearest selling dealer is about 110 miles away in Tustin. The nearest filling station is about 10 miles away which would be fine. New techmology vs iron-clad Toyota reliability. My 2011 Prius has 35k miles on it and shows every sign of running forever. What to do?
I believe it works like a reality show and all the candidates that dropout will be sequestered at an all-inclusive island resort until the reunion show conventions (or possibly elections).
Iowa caucuses don't start until 7PM local time (8 eastern, 5 pacific) but might as well get the thread up now.
So they start at 7 PM, last maybe two hours, then have to deliver the results to Demo and GOPer HQ, where the numbers will be counted…what time will it be before we see the twin-triumphs of Bernie and Gary Gilmore?
BTW, Po'o media critic Jack Shafer has already pre-digested the excuses of pundits who blew it:
| <a href="http://:http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/02/the-pundits-are-about-to-be-wrong-213584” target=”_blank”>:http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/02/the-pundits-are-about-to-be-wrong-213584 |
Hope Bill Kristol is studying it carefully.
I'd be expecting results maybe around 9 then coming in through the night? Possibly starting a bit earlier if some get done early. I'm sure we'll get some reports that aren't votes a lot earlier than that for what people are seeing as far as turnout.
I screwed up the link in the comment above by editing it obsessively. This one should work.
http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/02/th…
I agree with the idea that too many are trying to hedge their bets. Like seriously, it's okay to admit you were wrong in a primary in Iowa.
Ottumwa reports Radar O'Reilly won both the D'Rat and Replican caucuses.
And it begins…
Breaking News from CNN! "Donald Trump will watch the results at the Sheraton in West Des Moines."
What? Was the La Quinta booked?
I think they're trying to warn people to avoid West Des Moines.
Red Roof Inn or GTFOut!
Motel 6: "We'll leave the light on for you, but not you, Donald."
<img src="https://i1.sndcdn.com/artworks-000086512962-wdcpy7-t500x500.jpg" />
Republican primaries in an image
|I guess we really oughta give Iowa a try.|
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1QXjdr__Ha… best spreadsheet ever?
State Fair/ Fried Foods/ Items Eaten/ Rep Candidates/ Dem Candidates/
Jesus, I thought I was obsessive.
BTW, I am grateful as fuck that Rachel Maddow is paired with Brian Wilson instead of the irritating Chris Matthews FFS…
ETA: oh Christ, he's baaaaack…
Brain Wilson? Cool.
Little Douche Coupe?
Brain. True story: Ex-BIL once misspelled his son Brian's name 'Brain' on some kinda official form, forget what it was now. Anyway , that ex BIL is dead now anyway.
Brain Wilson was the "smart" Beach Boy.
Tweety gets no love? lol
Will corny humor be permitted?
State motto: "We Corn It"
State slogan: "If corn won't grow where you live, give us a chance!"
State Song: "Beautiful Corn"
State bird: Popcorn Popper
State capital: Des Corn
State governor: Cornelio C. Cornell
State fish: Flipper Kernel
State flower: Corn Flower
State fossil: Petrified Corn
State insect: Locust (Also known as "Corn Flies")
State language: English, Children of the Corn
State amphibian: Corn Frog
State tree: Corn Stalk
State color: Corn Yellow
State Plague: Corn Fungus
State Pastime: Corn on the Cob'n
State Hero: Ethanol, Slipknot
State skin disorder: Bunyan See: Corn
State governor: Cornelio C. Cornell
The Great Cornholio libel! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZDdCSKO3RgM
As someone who (briefly) attended Cornell College¹ in Mount Vernon IA, I salute this exhaustive compilation of corn-themed things.
_______________________
¹"No, not that Cornell." It's on the official seal.
Not sure about other streamers/sites, but the CBS News and ABC News Roku channels are livestreaming for free (no login).
Supposed to be nasty weather in Iowa later tonight, blizzard conditions, etc. It might hit western Iowa around the time the caucuses end. Hopefully, it won't deter anyone from going and letting their voices be heard.
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=oax&pr… Might be able to stay out in Nebraska long enough to not be much of a problem.
OT….Where's glasspusher? I've been found Mirai-worthy and need advice.
IT BEGINS
|appropos of nothing|
The GOP's new theme song? Now they can stop ripping off Adele.
https://soundcloud.com/nbgmusicyt/skrill-hill I would like to suggest this monstrosity.
Gah! My ears!
Is it awful enough or do I need to go farther?
If I may paraphrase Joseph N. Welch during the McCarthy hearings: "Have you no sense of decency, Karen? At long last, have you left no sense of decency?"
https://soundcloud.com/raggle-fraggle/justin-timb…
Nah, it's all gone.
As beloved Wonket commentator emmelemm was fond to post: "Don't click the linky!"
Oh God–they're saying turnout appears to be high and that may help Trump. Hold me…
So basically the GOP member that we'd crush most easily is winning? Not seeing a problem.
I know, but I'm not sure I can live through even more months of his insufferable arrogance. I guess I can take one for the team, though…
Mr. Rose, whose wife, Mary Jones, was a precinct captain for President Obama in 2008, ruefully recalled losing out on some supporters because a rival campaign had brought homemade sandwiches.
hahaha the NYT is coming in with the important facts.
edit: it doesn't end.
Ms. Vernon said she was already wary of her rivals’ tactics. “I heard some Hillary people talking about if they should bring pizza,” Ms. Vernon said, with a hint of suspicion in her voice. She paused. “I wouldn’t mind getting a piece of pizza, but I’m probably going to go for Bernie.”
The top story on MSNBC's Chris Hayes website at the moment is one I saw the other night, and becomes pretty hilarious and touching when their dude on the ground in Iowa ventures into the home of a nice old couple, looks at all the mailers they've received, and sits down with them in their living room to have dinner on teevee tables while they watch all the freaking commercials.
http://www.msnbc.com/all
In case it gets bumped down, the story is called "Iowa Ad Wars" and the fun stuff begins about one minute in.
"Dear Mr. or Ms. Iowa voter, what is the most important characteristic you look for in a candidate?"
"Whether or not their supporters bring pizza on caucus night."
MSNBC: very early entrance polling indicates Trump lead…
Just remember, two folks who won the Iowa caucus on the Republican side recently were "President" Rick Santorum and "President" Mike Huckabee, so, yeah. Republican Iowegians are not very good at selecting presidents, so there's that.
But that 1-delegate lead Trump might get from winning is HUGE!
"Have you seen that delegate? I mean, I haven't, but my people tell me he or she is YOOGE and BEEYOOTIFUL! You've never seen such a classy delegate. And my people tell me he or she loves me and thinks I'm awesome, which is great."
My blood pressure thanks you.
Trump and Fiorina showed up at the same time at the same caucus site.
Rachel: reports of caucus locations running out of voter reg forms.
Anyone know how Iowa works? Does that mean the newcomers are SOL and can't caucus then?
Disenfranchised! Did they check for Black Panthers?
Actually IA folks are terminally nice and would run off more copies or just hand-draw the forms if need be.
Ioway allows for same-day voter registration, at least on caucus night (not sure about the general, but probably then, too). So, if a person is a first-time voter (or has recently moved and just needs to update their address info) they can register right at the caucus. What's frustrating and ridiculous is that some places either underestimate or just have no estimate at all as to how many forms will be needed at any particular caucus place. Most likely, the people who need voter reg forms will get them eventually. They may have to delay the actual caucus process for a little while, but they should (I hope) still be able to get registered and caucus.
Clinton leading early entrance poll among… white people, which is 94% of the electorate according to CNN. If that's accurate this will be a good night for her.
Newell
https://twitter.com/jim_newell
<img src="http://replygif.net/i/593.gif">
The Rube says Socialist Bernie should run for President of Sweden.
Comment got put in timeout.
3 Democratic results posted… Every single one is an exact tie.
6% reporting for Democrats.
Clinton 52.7
Sanders 46.2
O'Malley 1.1
2% for Republicans
Trump 34.7
Cruz 30.7
Rubio 13.6
Carson 9.6
Paul 3.5
Huckabee 1.8
Christie 1.5
Fiorina 1.4
Kasich 1.4
Bush 1.2
Santorum 0.6
Gilmore 0.0
Actual votes, not polls:
Replicans (4%):
the Cruzer: 31.1% (1,290 votes)
tehRump: 30.0% (1,245 votes)
Waterboy Rubio: 15.9% (658 votes)
D'Ratz (13%):
Hillz: 52.4% (97 votes)
the Bern: 46.5% (86 votes)
Radar O'Reilly (47,286 corn cobs)
3% in and Cruz has the lead (for now, at least)
And Rubio is in 3rd with half the votes. The Chamber Pot must be in full panic mode.
"We've gone from too early to call to too close to call"
OK–thanks for the informative update!
I blame Ottumwa.
Changing a word counts as reporting now?
From Jim Newell's twitter, which Blue posted earlier: "It all comes down to the number of supporters each candidate has"
Reminds me of watching one of the last NFL games John Madden ever did color commentary for: "What it comes down to is can [Team A] score and stop [Team B] from scoring?" And he got paid good money for saying that.
Coach X: "What we've got to do is put some points on the scoreboard."
Candidate Y: "The only poll that counts (unless it shows I'm ahead) is the one on Election Day."
21% reporting- D
Clinton 53.0% (107)
Sanders 46.5% (94)
O'Malley 0.5% (1, yes it was 2 last update. He lost a vote lmao)
R- 7% reporting
Cruz 30.2%
Trump 28.6%
Rubio 17.8%
Carson 9.8%
Paul 4.3%
Bush 2.2%
Huckabee 2.1%
Fiorina 1.8%
Kasich 1.4%
Christie: 1.1%
Santorum 0.7%
Other 0.1%
Gilmore 0.0%
"It's a Cruz – Trump – Rubio race."
I like how there's always 1 county Carson leads in and it keeps changing. It's like it's trying to find the right county to sleep in.
Ariel Edwards-Levy Verified account
@aedwardslevy
8:30 pm "too early to call"
9 pm "too close to call"
11 pm "too busy drinking to call"
12:30 am "too late to call"
D-41% reporting
Clinton 51.5% (224)
Sanders 48.0% (209)
O'Malley 0.5% (2)
Getting closer. Does anyone know the splits for rural, urban, or college town?
Urban: 50.2 Sanders, 49.7 Clinton (note: Ones with colleges tend to be going Sanders, other like Des Moines going Clinton)
Rural: 52.1 Clinton, 47.1 Sanders
Thanks. Problem with no cable.
Getting the results from the link above, actually, not TV.
R-19% reporting
Cruz 30.0%
Trump 27.2%
Rubio 18.7%
Carson 10.0%
Paul 4.4%
Bush 2.3%
Huckabee 1.8%
Fiorina 1.8%
Kasich 1.4%
Christie 1.2%
Santorum 1.2%
I would love to see Donald Trump's face right now.
Anyone know why the Democratic precincts are reporting so much more quickly than the GOP ones? Dafuq?
Likely because fewer Dem candidates. Less shuffling between candidates required. At least that's how it typically works with our caucuses.
Ah, that makes sense.
Marco Rubio won Indianola!
Jebus weeps.
That deep groundwork in Indianola clearly paid off.
Who says that Cable News doesn't keep us informed?
<img src="https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CaK-384WQAA1ROr.jpg"/>
I despise Wolf Blitzer almost as much as I hate Chris Matthews. All bluster and no substance.
He's the cellulose packing peanut of news anchors. Perfect for CNN.
Matthews is one of those people where if I even just hear his voice I have to change the channel. Blitzer, I tend to gape at him, it amazes me how someone so vacuous has stayed in his job for so long.
I think he's got nude photos of some executive. It's the only explanation that makes sense.
Matthews makes my mind bleed.
I'm going to laugh so hard if this actually turns out to be legit and they both tie.
Why don't they hold this first primary closer to the ocean?
<img src="http://i.imgur.com/cToL1AG.png"/>
It's discrimination, plain and simple.
New Hampshire's up next, don't worry!
Yay! The Innsmouth Delegates will be all over that!
Speaking of closer to the ocean, on Friday I saw The Finest Hours. I recommend it to all Wonkvillians. Very edge-of-the-seat although no sea monsters.
Thanks, I must see this, despite the grievous lack of aquatic monstrosities . I didn't even know it was in production till the ads came out. Those sneaky Disney folks!
So… a bit windy out in those parts?
Very. And cold. A tree fell over in a park near here. That rarely happens. And pretty heavy rain Sunday morning. It's weird, having weather.
I saw a scary tree fall on the news, and a 115 mph gust somewhere. That's all too much. People move out there to get away from the weather, I understand, and maybe a few strongly worded letters to the Chamber of Commerce are in order.
Nobody's hair got messed up so it's OK.
That's a bit of luck!
Wow, now that's a scary tree fall! I hope no one was hurt.
I think my previous comment came off much more smartass-y than It should have, so I do apologize.
I'm surrounded by gigantic old silver maples. If they ever go their roots will take the entire neighborhood with them. The good news – no grass to mow!
Not sure which comment you mean. I didn't detect any smart assery.
It was indeed a pretty dramatic tree fail. Around California it's more common for |oaks to drop their limbs in the summer,| and oaks are ubiquitous. So parks and public spaces are careful to place tables and benches away from oak canopies.
Oh, good. The whole "strongly worded letter" to the C-o-C bit was making me uneasy…
Wow, "Sudden Limb Drop" is a real thing! Didn't know that. A tree (don't remember what kind) did that to me years ago. Late summer, dead calm, tree just ups and sheds a huge limb *right across the top of the power pole* outside my window. Woke up to a huge electrical ball of fire outside the window (try integrating that into your dream "hmmm…the sun is making this weird buzzing sound…"). Fortunately, the power cut before everything caught fire.
Must have been the temperature drop that night. Now I know, cool.
D-55% reporting
Clinton 51.2% (341)
Sanders 48.3% (322)
O'Malley 0.5% (3)
And now, for your halftime musical interlude, here's a scene from Minnesota's own Chmielewski Fun Time! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tEZUykSPF3Y
LOL, MSNBC accidentally broadcast a kid dropping an f-bomb. Oh, whoops. democracy in action!
WHAT THE FUCK
THIS IS SO FUCKIN GREAT
Oops.
That's a big fucking deal!
Oooh, someone used the F-word on MSNBC. That's what they get for eavesdropping…
WHY THE FUCK
I don't understand why the dem results are so low (actual votes) can someone exlain?
It's State Delegate Equivalents, the guess that the Iowa Democratic Party has of how many delegates each will have at the state convention level in March.
That makes sense. Thank you!
This is the best info I could turn up: http://iowacaucusproject.org/2015/07/how-many-peo…
So you have a fraction of a fraction of the voters, and the voters then elect delegates, basically. So the most you can expect from the Ds is to hit the 2008 caucus high turnout of 38% of eligible D voters. (And since Iowa lets you switch sides that day, people who were Ds could switch to R tonight just for shits and giggles and free Trump swag, then never vote R again.)
Ah. Thanks.
Wait–is Chris Matthews asking about the GOP three-way? That's a visual I could do without…
MSNBC: fundies heart Cruz.
I forget which one of you good Wonkers gave me the term "fundie mentals," but yeah, that…
From the NYT's updates:
If you say so…
Shows what an amazing planner he is! Real Presidential material!
Going back to Florida for a change of clothes? Nonsense. He's obviously got to go plug in his brain at the home charging station, or perform some bizarre rite at the secret home altar to keep his human form, or finalize his report to the Overlords, or finish loading the fuel rods in his personal nuclear submarine.
No one goes back to Florida for clothes
Uncommitted got 1 on the democratic side!
Vote decisively for uncommitted!
Vote Uncommitted! A Blurry View for a Dimly Lit American Future!
Rachel: Republicans think turnout on their side will set a record.
UGH…
From the NYT's updates, finally an answer to the question I've had for an hour:
Still going to be a long night…
BREAKING: O'Malley possibly suspending campaign after tonight: https://twitter.com/samsteinhp/status/69435392842…
NOOOO!
MSNBC: M O'M is expected to suspend his campaign tonight.
Yeah, saw that coming. Wonder which way he'll send his fractional delegation?
Chuck Todd: it is hard to see how Trump can overtake Cruz.
D-69% reporting
Clinton 50.7% (451)
Sanders 48.6% (432)
O'Malley 0.6% (5)
Uncommitted 0.1% (1)
Update: 77%
Clinton 50.3% (517)
Sanders 49% (503)
This is so close
No one's voting "Lizard People"? What's this country coming to?
Courtesy of a Wonkette commenter:
Iowa Democratic Party results. Data nerds like me can drill down by county!
Nice, actually a bit ahead of NYT.
Click on the counties and you can see individual caucuses!
Rubio spokesperson: we could come in second!
Sanders winning in Clinton county smh
They're only 11 votes apart. Amazing.
R-83% reporting
Cruz 27.7%
Trump 24.4%
Rubio 23.0%
Carson 9.3%
Paul 4.5%
Dear god, Carson is quoting Joseph Stalin.
99% of the GOP vote is in. Results should be coming soon…
MSNBC: The Donald is going to start busting Rubio's balls.
If it works he'll still just be fighting for the honor of losing to Hillary Clinton.
Cruz projected the winner. Ick.
OMG…The Donald has to give a concession speech?
<img src="http://i0.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/original/000/829/550/a4e.gif">
Anyone else listening to CBS? Carson is argle bargling. Italy/raising retirement age/national debt/the bible/mavericks, huh?
I have it on, but it's on "mute". I'm listening to NPR. It helps me not to break things.
MSNBC FTW. In spite of Chris Matthews and Chuck Todd.
Clinton fans: ohgodohgodohgod
Sanders fans: ohgodohgodohgod
MSNBC: HRC is declaring victory.
Um, it seems a bit early for that even if the precincts that are out are in Clinton country…
And they're kind of split, so it's too early to call.
Huckabee is suspending his campaign. Buh – bye!
Two down already tonight!
He who Grifts and runs away
will live to Grift another day
He will leave a very, very, very, very, very large hole.
<img src="http://i.imgur.com/6CbxaPc.jpg" />
Ted Cruz looks a hell of a lot like Kappa
AUGH Ted Cruz. Oil is seeping out of the teeve, pooling on the floor.
MSNBC: Trump is getting ready for his speech and he is unhappy.
YES!!!
PREPARE THE POPCORN
College Boy: people thought I couldn't win because of boots. Also, we need guns.
Has anyone explained to him that coming in 3rd is not winning? Fucking youths and their participation trophies.
He made the playoffs though!
As we learned from Ray Gillette, a bronze medal isn't losing!
Oh God, how long is Rubio going to babble on? Get to the Trump
temper tantrumconcession speech already…89% in
Clinton 49.9% (620)
Sanders 49.4% (614)
O'Malley 0.6% (7)
Uncommitted 0.1% (1)
Marco will be back to Iowa in October 2017. I'm sure he'll enjoy travelling as a private citizen.
MARCO!
Boobio!
POLO!
MSNBC: Trump is on his way!
Here comes The Donald!
Clinton 49.8% (628)
Sanders 49.6% (625)
CAN'T STUMP THE TRUMP
"We finished second, and I'm honored" = "Fuck, I can't believe this happened to me!"
The Donald: I lost, but Hillary has problems!
MSNBC: HRC says she's winning because of the superdelegates.
In that context she actually has a point.
Oh Christ, MSNBC says we could be going "into the wee hours" for the Democratic results. Fuck it–time to walk the dogs. BBL…
92% reporting
Clinton 50.2% (660)
Sanders 49.3% (649)
Came back to hear Cruz' victory speech. Off to the liquor store I go!
One really should never listen to Ted Cruz with a BAC below .08.
NYT delegate estimate: Clinton 21, Sanders 21.
Tonight, we are all Martin O'Malley, or at least tied with him in the Iowa caucuses.
I'm being ranted at by someone claiming voter fraud by Hillary Clinton already, help
Ask for evidence. Laugh when that person says "everyone knows she did it!" and remind him or her that "everyone" thought Iraq had WMD's back in 2003…
I was linked an anonymously-posted video of someone asking an election official in a Polk County caucus whether there should be a recount or not. That was pretty weak.
The next few months are going to be insufferable. I also saw a Bernie fan on twitter claiming that his supporters are soooo well-mannered when he speaks (after they had been screaming, "LIAR" at Hillary when she spoke). Love Bernie, but hate about 75% of his voters at this point.
I feel the same. Bernie's awesome, I like Hillary a bit more but I'd have no problems voting for Bernie in a general election. It's just that he has so many supporters that are awful.
It's like having a crush on someone and finding out they only hang out with lacrosse douches. But, yes, same. And it's like Clinton 2008 redux — if Bernie doesn't quash the BS soon, it's going to sink him.
MSNBC: we won't know the final tally tonight.
Well, fuck. Good night, everyone!
Night!
They're not yet counting the Illinois votes and precincts from the moon. (Moon, Iowa.)
Clinton winning by half an O'Malley.
Tbh though it's basically a tie, and no matter what the differences are we can all agree to point and laugh at Donald Trump.
|a vagina just esploded in my ear!|
…and with that, I bid you all g'night.
Night to you too!
Wait, I just woke up to check on the results!
I'm still here for a bit! Incredibly close right now.
Oooh this is close….
Clinton up 3 with 14 precincts remaining. 7 are in counties Sanders is leading, 7 where Clinton is leading.
Hands up who thought Martin O'Malley wouldn't make any impact (with his teeny tiny 0.5% of the vote) this election?
All of us, Katie
Apparently the Polk County Democratic Party chairman is sending someone to knock on the door of the head of the precinct not showing results yet. We're at that point.
And with that I'm going to bed. Nearly 3am and it may take hours for them to get contact with the final ten precincts. Legendary night to say the least.
Latest numbers: Cruz 28% (Yay!*) Trump 24, Rubio 23. Other people got votes as well. (It appears Jeb! finished with 3%. *snort*)
Clinton: 49.9%, Bernie 49.5%. A few people voted for M O'M also, too. Teh teevee newz is saying it's the closest Iowa caucus race evah.
* I said "Yay!" about Cruz's win because I feel like, among the GOP front runners, he would be the easiest to defeat in November. Trump scares me as human being and as a candidate because he could get a lot of independents to vote for him. Rubio scares me as a human being and as a candidate because he's smooth and I could see a lot of people voting for him. Cruz is just creepy as all fuck.
Also, too, O'Malley is suspending his campaign, as is Fuckadump, er, sorry, Huckabee.
Complaining about media bias when the media has been paying a ton of attention to your state for the last month? Not very good timing.
I'm in San Diego and the nearest selling dealer is about 110 miles away in Tustin. The nearest filling station is about 10 miles away which would be fine. New techmology vs iron-clad Toyota reliability. My 2011 Prius has 35k miles on it and shows every sign of running forever. What to do?
I believe it works like a reality show and all the candidates that dropout will be sequestered at an all-inclusive island resort until the
reunion showconventions (or possibly elections).More like a turd party! *snort!*
Who ya gonna call? Glass Pusher!
Yep, we're talking off-line. Dude knows his stuff.