irma forecast 5081717

Irma expected to be Category 5 when it hits Florida on Sunday

47 thoughts on “Irma expected to be Category 5 when it hits Florida on Sunday

  1. I am quite worried about Tampa at this point, actually. The track's shifted a good bit west and they're probably not as prepared as Miami. If the storm goes near the center of the track it'll keep the storm surge down, at least, but we'll have to see.

    1. Saw it on network news last night. I can't express the feeling of being handcuffed when you've done nothing wrong. Impotent rage doesn't even begin…

  2. Okay this is serious: Irma back to category 5. Winds back to 160 mph. If it only hits the islands on the north end of Cuba it can probably keep its strength.

  3. New advisory assumes more land interaction with Cuba. Should slightly "weaken" to a strong category 4, but affect the keys at that extremely strong intensity.

  4. Top 10 Atlantic storms all time by ACE (as of 11PM 9/8)

    1. San Ciriaco 1899: 73.6
    2. Ivan 2004: 70.4
    3. Great Charleston 1893: 63.5
    4. Isabel 2004: 63.3
    5. Cuba 1932: 59.8
    6. Donna 1960: 57.6
    7. Irma 2017: 56.2
    8. Carrie 1957: 55.8
    9. Inez 1966: 54.6
    10. Matthew 2016: 53.9

  5. I have friends on both coasts that have evacuated, one in Fort Myers is riding it out. The ones on Sanibel left, reluctantly, but with only one way off the island, better safe than sorry. The ones on the Atlantic coast are crediting prayer for the weakened status there. I guess peeps on the Gulf coast didn't pray enough.

  6. I just un-stickied this post mostly since it's not supposed to be a category 5 anymore (but still incredibly dangerous)

    I'll probably make a new one and sticky that after the 5pm advisory though.

  7. OT but you might like to know the Dragons just beat the best team in the entire Minor Leagues in the first round of the playoffs, 2 games to 1. Every win was by the road team. Dragons gave up 2 runs with 2 outs and nobody on in the 9th twice in the series. 3-2 loss, 2-1 win, 4-3 win in 11 innings.

  8. You have a point there. It's an odd feeling since I'd normally be really mad about just randomly taking homeless people into custody but right now this is nowhere near a normal scenario.

  9. It's trying to do kinetic energy but it doesn't take the storm's size into account. I don't think there's a widely-used index that does that, though, so it's the best we have.

  10. “Here’s the issue,” Scott Pruitt told CNN. “To have any kind of focus on the cause and effect of the storm; versus helping people, or actually facing the effect of the storm, is misplaced.”

    “[T]o discuss the cause and effect of these storms, there’s the… place (and time) to do that, it’s not now,” he said.

    Obvs. too soon.

  11. "Now as I recall from last week, Madame von K, you dreamt that you and your daughter went down to the harbor and gave yourselves to sailors. Can you tell me what you were wearing?"

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