I was hoping we would live-blog. And thank Jesus I don't have any work commitments tonight. I know there isn't much suspense on the Democratic side but the GOP results should be interesting…and frightening…
Cancel: still searching. (What I initially found was a screenshot of Mika holding a baby at a bar during the NH primary, but it was from 2012, so clearly this is her thing, stealing people's babies during NH primaries.)
\Oh God–the GOP talking head on MSNBC is going on about how we don't talk enough about the similarities between Trump and Sanders. Um, there's a reason for that, dipshit…
There aren't many (potential belllwethers) to choose from in New Hampshire, but Hillsborough County will be an interesting test for both Trump and Sanders. It's a fairly affluent county, and it will be an interesting measure of the breadth of their appeal.
Very awkward situation considering things were getting reported when polls were supposed to close. Not sure what to do in those spots. Probably means a lot less when everything's just proportional delegates though, winning doesn't get you everything in NH.
Voters in the Republican primary were asked about how they would feel if the eventual nominee was Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz or Donald Trump.
Majorities reported that they would be dissatisfied with Mr. Rubio and with Mr. Cruz as the nominee. The only one to receive a vote of confidence from a majority of these voters was Mr. Trump.
Allow me to be racially non-transcendent for a moment:
"Bling." ("My president's bald and my Lambo's blue…")
Seriously, Trump is a rich man who meets the average poor person's idea of what "rich" looks like, what they imagine themselves being when they "make it." He may not be Romney rich, but Romney is more humble than Trump (yeah, I said it!).
And yeah. I'll also agree with the MSNBC talking heads that Madeline Albright's and Gloria Steinem's comments were also not helpful, either for promoting Hillary or promoting feminism FFS…
Prediction markets have Bush’s chances of winning the Republican nomination up by quite a bit. I suppose that makes sense given how poor a night it’s been for Rubio (and to a lesser extent, Christie). But still: Bush has just 11 percent of the vote so far with a third of New Hampshire precincts reporting. This in a state where Bush has invested a ton of time and money and which is a pretty good fit for him ideologically. If Rubio hadn’t disappointed so much by comparison, this result would look like a pretty big failure for Bush.
Perhaps it shouldn’t be too surprising given Sanders’s lack of history with the Democratic Party, but he is doing far better with undeclared voters than he is with registered Democrats. Although he leads 72 percent to 27 percent over Clinton among undeclared voters, Sanders is tied with Clinton at 49 percent among registered Democrats.
Probably not surprising considering he's running on being a revolution.
If you’re wondering who is going to come in third on the Republican side, you’re not alone. I have no idea, to be honest. Right now, Bush, Cruz and Rubio are all within 1.2 percentage points of one another, with many votes to be counted. It should be noted that none of them is above 12 percent right now, though Cruz leads, with Rubio in fifth.
I once got in an argument with a friend by saying the The Onion was the most honest newspaper in the country. "But it's a fake newspaper!" friend says. Me: "Yeah, but you just know every 'Area Man…' story has happened somewhere!"
I'm surprised that Jeb? is beating Christie in NH (up by over 6,000 votes, 2 percentage points with about 65% reporting). I would have thought Christie's take down of Bleep Blorp in the debate would have given him better results. CNN is reporting that Christie is going home to NJ to "take a break."
Picture from the Boston Globe: https://twitter.com/BostonGlobe/status/6971478041…
I trust that pig to make a better choice than the GOP voters.
Thank you.
The pig was going to vote for Gilmore, but had a felony conviction so they wouldn't let him vote.
Disenfranchised! All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others.
I was hoping we would live-blog. And thank Jesus I don't have any work commitments tonight. I know there isn't much suspense on the Democratic side but the GOP results should be interesting…and frightening…
<img src="http://images.mentalfloss.com/sites/default/files/styles/article_640x430/public/ahh.png">
JEB!
Guessing the Rs won't do a write-in for favorite son Ken Burns.
OT, but goddammit SCOTUS, you already replaced democracy with oligarchy; do you have to destroy the planet too?
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/supreme-court…
The entire planet suffers because 5 Republicans are obsessed with oil and coal. Great.
MSNBC: New Hampshire's elected officials are arguing about whether to extend poll hours due to high turnout. We could be all night, folks…
We'll know before 3:30 this time!
This is when I am grateful as fuck to be three hours behind Eastern time. When I lived back East, election night required a vat of coffee FFS…
We do luck out on that don't we.
That's what you like about the Best Coast?
One of many things, but it would be mean to list them all. At least during the winter.
Did you see WonkBaby on MSNBC?
No! Immediate link, please!
[ha ha, you can't link to anything on mSnBc.]
I am SURE her proud parents will put up a screenshot soon.
(Also, she was in close proximity to Joe and Mika, so pray for little Donna Rose's soul.)
I hope Donald Trump was far away.
He usually phones it in. Busy man, you know.
Aw, I missed it!
If you do have a link please post!
Cancel: still searching. (What I initially found was a screenshot of Mika holding a baby at a bar during the NH primary, but it was from 2012, so clearly this is her thing, stealing people's babies during NH primaries.)
Who did the pig vote for
Mailed my skool ballot today. We caucus on Crypt Day, March 26th.
<img src="https://democracychronicles.com/wp-content/uploads/pig-vote.jpg" width="275">
Took 32 minutes but we got a district in Manchester from the Democrats that went 58-39 Bernie!
I'm expecting a 15-18 point win or so for Bernie tonight myself.
MSNBC exit poll of Reeps: The Donald would be best at handling an international crisis…
<img src="http://media.giphy.com/media/24wIEVaREhyBG/giphy.gif">
Compared to the rest of the Republican field? It's a debatable point.
I think Steve Kornecki just admitted he's being sexually harassed.
Jeb!'s #3! Jeb!'s #3!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ECYsfl0oC9Y
\Oh God–the GOP talking head on MSNBC is going on about how we don't talk enough about the similarities between Trump and Sanders. Um, there's a reason for that, dipshit…
Similarities
1. Neither has a Super-PAC
Differences
1. Everything else.
Ohio's invasion of New Hampshire seems to be going well!
Oh, sure. "Ohio."
<img src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1f/Ctwestclaims.png">
Your map seems to be from the Ted Cruz era. You might want to buy a new one.
David Wasserman 7:48 PM
At this point, it’s pretty clear from the early results that Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump will win New Hampshire, possibly very convincingly.
Whooze David Wasserman? [I'm listening to Philip Glass instead of watching the teevee. Much nicer.]
Someone on 538. Probably better than TV.
Democrats- 6% in
Sanders 51.4%
Clinton 40.3%
Other 8.3%
From the NYT's updates:
Great, now I have to open another browser tab…
As a former Floridian, I strongly urge you to avoid anything coming from someplace called "HIllsborough County."
MSNBC just called first place for Trump. The race for #2 is on!
What about #9, #9, #9?
NYT called wins for Trump and Sanders already. Margins still very interesting, live blog isn't stopping.
And all the polls have not closed.
Very awkward situation considering things were getting reported when polls were supposed to close. Not sure what to do in those spots. Probably means a lot less when everything's just proportional delegates though, winning doesn't get you everything in NH.
Republicans-6% in
Trump 33.0%
Kasich 17.1%
Bush 11.9%
Rubio 10.4%
Cruz 10.1%
Christie 8.3%
Fiorina 4.6%
Carson 2.0%
Photo of Wonk Baby on MSNBC was posted on the Wonkette thread!
Get her away from Mika!
Bernie up 56-42 with 11% in so far.
Wow, I hate Donald Trump, but really HuffPo? http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/donald-trump-…
<img src="http://www.cringechannel.com/wp-content/sp-resources/forum-image-uploads/spaih/2014/05/now-thats-what-i-call-edgy.png" />
I don't even want to know what right-wing websites are saying about Sanders' win.
Do you think they've noticed yet? They may still be basking in the orange glow of Trump.
(but seriously they'll be completely awful)
Oh good fucking God–from the NYT's update:
<img src="https://media.giphy.com/media/10A2qk8IALiPug/giphy.gif">
Were those voters all wearing white hoodies?
Rubio might not make 10%. 10% is the place you have to be to get NH delegates.
Ack, they just showed Marcobot w/10%. Did so want him skunked.
Make it 12.5%, or Marcobot could get floating point issues.
Katy Tur is assigned to cover Trump because she (1) is kinda hawtt, and (2) has big boobs.
She's also pretty smart.
I know. This is her punishment for that sin. Or else she just likes blowhards.
THIS is hilarious: fivethirtyeight.com's liveblog has a typo:
…or maybe not…
Democrats- 22% reporting
Sanders 58.3%
Clinton 39.6%
Republicans- 19% reporting
Trump 34.6%
Kasich 15.9%
Cruz 11.6%
Bush 11.5%
Rubio 9.8%
Christie 7.5%
Fiorina 4.3%
Carson 2.3%
Heard evil genius Frank Luntz the other day reeling off a list of ways Trump is the opposite of Obama:
• extemporaneous speaker / uses teleprompter
• hotheaded / measured words
• unsophisticated macho bluster / elite demeanor
• politically incorrect / respectful of feelings of minorities
He had others but didn't include white / black. To his astonishment (and mine), Luntz found that 15 percent of Trump's supporters are black.
Allow me to be racially non-transcendent for a moment:
"Bling." ("My president's bald and my Lambo's blue…")
Seriously, Trump is a rich man who meets the average poor person's idea of what "rich" looks like, what they imagine themselves being when they "make it." He may not be Romney rich, but Romney is more humble than Trump (yeah, I said it!).
Low bar or lowest bar?
* cartoonishly stupid/ obviously smart
Yeah, I have to agree with the MSNBC talking heads that Bill losing his cool didn't help Hillz. I hope he pulls himself together moving forward FFS…
And yeah. I'll also agree with the MSNBC talking heads that Madeline Albright's and Gloria Steinem's comments were also not helpful, either for promoting Hillary or promoting feminism FFS…
I was so mad when Steinem said that, being sexist is still being sexist when trying to support Hillary.
MSNBC projects Kasich to be #2.
Wow. So much for Rubio's momentum! Thanks, bad robot coding!
Christie: sixth place. Good job, Lap-Band-Boy! Maybe you didn't ridicule the Marcobot enough.
Please disappear now.
Hillary is on.
Democrats- 31%
Sanders 58.1%
Clinton 39.8%
Republicans- 30%
Trump 33.9%
Kasich 15.5%
Bush 11.6%
Cruz 11.5%
Rubio 10.4%
Christie 8.4%
Fiorina 4.4%
Carson 2.2%
Gilmore 0.1%
It's a marathon, not a sprint. Stay strong, Hillary–and stay with tonight's progressive message!
Do more of this and it'll be fine!
More from fivethirtyeight.com:
Hee hee hee…
http://www.theonion.com/article/demoralized-jeb-b…
Interesting note on 538:
Harry Enten 9:28 PM
Perhaps it shouldn’t be too surprising given Sanders’s lack of history with the Democratic Party, but he is doing far better with undeclared voters than he is with registered Democrats. Although he leads 72 percent to 27 percent over Clinton among undeclared voters, Sanders is tied with Clinton at 49 percent among registered Democrats.
Probably not surprising considering he's running on being a revolution.
First revolutionary socialism, next anarcho-syndicalism!
Democrats- 40%
Sanders 59.0%
Clinton 38.3%
Republicans-39%
Trump 33.9%
Kasich 15.6%
Cruz 11.8%
Bush 11.5%
Rubio 10.5%
Christie 8.1%
Fiorina 4.4%
Carson 2.3%
If that Democratic margin stays over 20% that's a big night for Bernie. He was polling up by 17 in the state going into the night.
Oh Christ, it's Trump's turn.
AP added a few delegates:
Sanders 13, Clinton 7
Trump 9
https://interactives.ap.org/2016/delegates-overvi… here's where we stand after those were added.
My dogs, who were silent for both Hillary and Bernie, are starting to bark now that The Donald is on. I may have to give them a treat, or a sedative…
Smart dogs!
Democrats-50%
Sanders 59.4%
Clinton 38.8%
Meanwhile, from fivethirtyeight.com :
Long night gets longer…
Republicans-51%
Trump 33.7%
Kasich 16.3%
Cruz 11.6%
Bush 11.3%
Rubio 10.5%
Christie 7.9%
Fiorina 4.4%
Carson 2.3%
Gilmore 0.1%
OK, The Donald is just pulling these numbers out of his ass now. Making this just like any other day…
/FFS
54% reporting:
3 Ted Cruz 15,302 11.6%
4 Jeb Bush 14,776 11.2
5 Marco Rubio 13,725 10.4
These Republican results are fun.
Kasich: we're not negative Nellies!
Kasich: "The light overcame the dark!" (or something like that) He does realize he finished a distant second behind The Donald, right?
Nicholas Confessore
10:18 pm ET
Fox cuts away from Kasich, who placed second, to Rubio, who placed fifth. Interesting choice.
K Street says, "Put our boy back on, would ya Roger?"
From America's Finest News Source's "What's at Stake in New Hampshire"
Carly Fiorina: The former Hewlett-Packard CEO is looking for a strong performance in Tuesday’s earlier GOP undercard primary
http://www.theonion.com/graphic/whats-stake-new-h…
The Onion, trying to be funny, manages to have better takes on the election than most of the media.
I once got in an argument with a friend by saying the The Onion was the most honest newspaper in the country. "But it's a fake newspaper!" friend says. Me: "Yeah, but you just know every 'Area Man…' story has happened somewhere!"
The Onion is way more believable than anything out of Florida!
So far, so good…
Falling…asleep…quickly…
And the GOP thinks this guy will help in swing states?
Kasich: "Just slow down." Is he trying to steal Jeb!'s thunder?
Um, Kasich honey? Before you snark on Bernie's long speech, you might want to make yours less soporific FFS…
College Boy does not look happy. Hurray!
Bernie Sandwich is now trending on Twitter. IT'S HAPPENING, WE'RE ELECTING FOOD
And the BBC newsreaders who keep saying "Bernie Saunders" don't get the joke…
Oh Christ–Rachel says that if history is any guide, the GOP nominee will be either Trump or Cruz. I may throw up now…
OK, my dogs are giving me that "stop yelling at the TV and take us for a walk" look now. BBL…
I'm surprised that Jeb? is beating Christie in NH (up by over 6,000 votes, 2 percentage points with about 65% reporting). I would have thought Christie's take down of Bleep Blorp in the debate would have given him better results. CNN is reporting that Christie is going home to NJ to "take a break."
Maybe it's just a change of clothes!
Hamsuit? *oukes*
Democrats-70% in
Sanders 59.8%
Clinton 38.5%
Republicans-69% in
Trump 34.3%
Kasich 16.3%
Cruz 11.5%
Bush 11.2%
Rubio 10.5%
Christie 7.6%
Fiorina 4.3%
Carson 2.3%
Gilmore 0.1%
Feel the FioCarsoGilmomentum!
Gilmore has 100 votes, he's going to be President!
I'm still not entirely sure that Gilmore is a real person and not just an elaborate prank.
AP delegate update for Republicans: Trump 10, Kasich 3, Cruz 2, Bush 2. Note that Rubio is guaranteed at least 1 if he can stay above 10%.
Someone in the comments on the front page (JMP, who may have been SorosBot at one time) posted a linky to vid of the Wonket babby: http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc-news/watch/joe-everyon…
Bernie FTW! If Hillz really loved this country she would concede the race to Bernie and be his VP. Just sayin'.
https://niceme.me/
https://twitter.com/tbogg/status/6972822615200235…
lol
<img src="http://i0.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/original/001/015/058/ef2.jpg" />
Last I'm doing for the night
Democrats-82%
Sanders 59.7%
Clinton 38.7%
Republicans-82%
Trump 35.2%
Kasich 15.9%
Cruz 11.5%
Bush 11.1%
Rubio 10.5%
Christie 7.6%
Fiorina 4.2%
Carson 2.3%